The Conversion Problem: A 50-Year Decision Being Made by Default
ATLAS · Jun 2, 2026

The Conversion Problem: A 50-Year Decision Being Made by Default

The U.S. is contracting decades of new thermal generation without seriously examining how that heat is converted. Recompression supercritical CO2 Brayton cycles deliver 45 to 50% thermal efficiency where steam cycles reach 33 to 37%. The plants being contracted today will run until 2070. This is a 50-year decision being made by default.

Private Professional Network

You Know Things Worth Publishing

You have spent a career learning what works. The Institute Network gives that knowledge a byline and an audience that can act on it. Members publish alongside fellow practitioners, brief decision makers, and shape the research agenda of the Institute.

Apply for membership